With a mere 33 days remaining until Election Day, now is the time to get engaged. The most important election of our lifetime means that you should be out volunteering for a candidate – phone banking, writing letters, street canvassing, helping to organize, raising funds, etc. Here are some local campaigns.
Like all other forms of competition, elections demand strategic, operational, and tactical thinking to outmaneuver and defeat the enemy. Business literature abounds with minds like Michael Porter and Henry Mintzberg, who study how private companies can win business, remain innovative, and operate effectively as organizations. There’s much to be said about the thinking of warfare as espoused by Sun Tzu, Alexander the Great, von Clausewitz, and Rommel. In campaigns, as in war, you must hold the land through constant presence, while overwhelming, misleading, and outflanking your opponent. We hope our campaign managers are wise and learned, and have considered their full arsenal of political weapons and their proper use and limits of effectiveness beforehand. Many parallels can be drawn between these great strategic disciplines and democratic elections. However, there’s one facet that’s often overlooked and especially relevant this year: enthusiasm.
While volunteering 3-5 hours/day on an outstanding campaign this season, I keep repeating in my mind the title of an article I read while in college: Hustle as a Strategy. It was published in 1986 by Harvard Business Review, written by Amar Bhide. I confess to knowing next to nothing about Dr. Bhide, and indeed recall very few specifics from the article. But for me, the title says it all.
A dedicated campaign, resolute and headstrong, just keeps chipping away at their opponents lead. Keeping on message, sending out mailings, maintaining a street presence in rain or shine, and recognizing that in order to beat an entrenched incumbent it will come down to sweat as much as strategic thinking. This is accomplished through a certain hardheadedness on the part of the staff, but most critically an enthusiasm among the volunteer base who get out there and fight passionately for victory!
People on the street, shuffling back in forth from work in their own personal fog, get engaged and excited when they see campaign teams out on the street corners passing out literature and engaging the citizenry in discussion. It harkens back to the colonial days with their town hall meeting and pamphleteering.
We have successful archetypes to follow in our own history. Ben Franklin was not only a witty writer and godfather of American liberty, but owned a publishing house; Thomas Paine made the case for revolution through his own short piece called Common Sense; after severing ties with the Crown, the Constitution was adopted only after a vigorous public effort by Madison, Jay, and Hamilton known as the Federalist Papers. All of this literature had to reach the hands of constituents through eager canvassers whose excitement was palpable.
This year Republicans benefit tremendously from an enthusiasm advantage over Democrats. Millions of Democrats are despondent, unemployed, and jaded from Obama’s incessant, undelivered (and undeliverable) promises. The hard left is disappointed that the economy is still flat, Guantanamo remains open, healthcare “reform” turned out to be a corporatist scam, and partisan politics is as rancorous as ever. The Right sees Obama (and his Congressional counterparts) as a failure, a symbol of a counter-revolution against American values (a “Socialist,” as he’s been famously labeled). The critical difference is that the Right is willing to lead the way out of malaise, through a return to limited constitutional government and trust in the American people as opposed to the self-appointed ruling class.
This is reflected in the much maligned Tea Parties. Tens of millions of Americans who would otherwise be content spending their golden years playing golf and raising their grandchildren are engaged as never before in political activism. The youth, unemployed in numbers unseen since the Great Depression, are joining the ranks. And Americans of every race, creed, political stripe, and income level are beginning to realize that if we do not effectively check the unbridled expansion of our Federal Government, our debt will swallow us (and future generations) whole.
Republicans have every reason to be excited. We are resurrecting the Reagan spirit of optimism and democratic self-rule. We are again beginning to sound like a confident party who rejects meeting Democrats half-way with their schemes for income redistribution, class antagonism, and constant talk of victimization. Although our problems, particularly our financial problems, are indeed grave, they are nothing compared to the dark days of Washington, Lincoln’s solemn choices made in 1864, the suicidal Imperial Japanese and bloodthirsty brainwashed Nazis, or the Red menace. If political will is needed, it is that which is snowballing.
Join the cause in earnest!
Ryan Brumberg (14th Congressional District)
Susan Kone (8th Congressional District)
Michel Faulkner (15th Congressional District)
Saul Farber (26th State Senate District)
Paul Niehaus (75th Assembly District)
Check out this new ad by Citizens for the Republic. If this doesn’t get you ready to go out and defeat Democrats…nothing will. It is a shot to the heart of President Obama and the rest of the Democrats in Congress.
New York City…the city known for the Yankees, great pizza, and liberalism. Yes…conservatism tends to me as unpopular as crowded subway in the summer. But this year…as famous Greenwich Village performer Bob Dylan once said…”The Times They Are A Changin.” Being out on the streets campaigning, you can tell that New Yorkers are looking for something different than the same old liberal politicians that are currently installed in Albany and Washington. They are open to Republicans on the ballot this year…but they will vote the same old same old…if we don’t give them a reason to “Fill in the Dots” (new voting system…no more lever) for the GOP. It is our job as activists to encourage those on the fence to take the leap and show them that we have faith in this year’s crop of Republicans. We all believe that Republicans, if they were elected to office, would make a positive difference for the residents of New York City and New York State. We can no longer afford taxes on everything from soda to ipods to anything else that Dems can get their hands on. Middle class families around New York City are sick and tired with the status quo and want to vote for us. But they want to see that we can win.
This is why we got to work like hell for the next month to get our conservative, small government message out to as many New York City voters as we can. People are receptive to our message and happy to have a choice of something different this year. In order to get our message out, each New York City campaign needs volunteers. An hour, a day, a week, or whatever you want to give will help us win seats in this city and statewide. Especially statewide. New York City will be a challenging but doable. However, any volunteer work you do in this city will help statewide races immensely. Because NYC is known as a very liberal city, not many statewide candidates will spend a lot of time campaigning here. They will need help from activists like us in order to increase votes for the GOP within Manhattan and the other 4 boroughs. Let’s say our hard work increases GOP votes citywide by 10%.
Then we can very well be the difference in making Carl Paladino the next Governor… Harry Wilson the next comptroller and Dan Donovan the next Attorney General. Paladino is within 6 points of Cuomo according to the latest Quinnipiac poll and now will receive support from most Rick Lazio supporters, since he has stepped down as a candidate on the Conservative line. Still not convinced that we could be the difference in NYC?
How about we look at the current polls in other states. Right now the U.S. Senate, according to Real Clear Politics, has the Democrats winning 50 seats and the Republicans winning 46 seats…with 4 tossup seats. Of those 4 seats…Ken Buck (R) is defeating incumbent Michael Bennet (D) by 5 points for the Colorado Senate seat according to CNN/Time Opinion Research poll. Also…Mark Kirk (R) is leading Alexi Giannoulias (D) by 3 points according to the latest Rasmussen poll. So that makes it 50-48 Democrats in the Senate. Also…in Nevada, Senate Majority leader Harry Reid and Sharon Angle are tied in the latest Las Vegas Review Journal/ Mason-Dixon poll. So, if Sharon Angle ekes out that race, then its 50-49 in the Senate. The last tossup seat is in West Virginia, show John Raese (R) defeating Joe Manchin (D) by 3 points in the latest Public Policy Polling poll. So, if Raese wins that race…the Senate is 5o-50. Since the Democrats control the Executive Branch, Vice President Joe Biden becomes the tie breaker vote and gives control of the Senate to the Democrats.
Real Clear Politics has the New York Senate seat leaning towards incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand. However, if Joe DioGuardi pulls off the upset…the GOP wins the Senate. If we win the House (as expected…but TAKE NOTHING FOR GRANTED!) and the Senate…then we will have control of Congress and the purse strings of government. President Obama will HAVE TO WORK WITH REPUBLICANS…to get anything done. This will curb his radicalism and allow the country to return to good, sound government policies. New York City could be the difference in us winning the Senate or not. So, anyone who tells you that you live in New York City and it doesn’t matter if you volunteer and vote…DON’T KNOW ANYTHING. If you follow my plea and help out a local campaign…you will help the GOP take back Congress. It doesn’t matter what campaign you work for in New York State…just get out and volunteer. If you put a few days of your life into a campaign, then WE WILL TAKE BACK CONGRESS and you will have TAKEN BACK YOUR COUNTRY!!!
Now is the time the act. This is our time to shine New York City. We have built the worlds tallest buildings and its greatest financial institutions. We can win this election as well for the GOP. Nothing is impossible. No one thought Scott Brown could win the “Ted Kennedy seat” and he won it by five points. 2010 is the year for the GOP to take back the Northeast and show we are viable party in every county in this country. Especially New York County. I hope to see you out volunteering and helping the GOP win a big election this year.
NOW LETS GO OUT AND WIN THIS THING!!!! Help a New York City candidate below by sending them a check or giving them your time.
Ryan Brumberg (14th Congressional District)
Susan Kone (8th Congressional District)
Michel Faulkner (15th Congressional District)
Saul Farber (26th State Senate District)
Paul Niehaus (75th Assembly District)
The economy remains flatter than a seltzer bottle in the morning, flanked by whiskey and gin, left uncapped by boisterous partiers the night before. Chairman Bernanke of the Federal Reserve, “Helicopter Ben” for short, remains stubbornly sure that this is due to a lack of liquidity. (Bear in mind that banks hold over $1 trillion in excess reserves.) In an effort to boost lending, which has plummeted despite aggressive inflation and political pressure from Congress and the White House, Bernanke is consider further “quantitative easing.”
Reports the New York Post (it is worth quoting at length):
Prior to its last meeting, the initial estimate for second-quarter GDP was a disappointing 2.4 percent. Now, that figure has been revised down to 1.6 percent, which led Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke to move this close to his second quantitative easing (QE2) plan. The FOMC statement said:
“The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and is prepared to provide additional accommodation if needed to support the economic recovery and to return inflation, over time, to levels consistent with its mandate.”
Translation: The Federal Reserve is ready, willing and able to step in and reinvigorate the economy through increased money supply. The economy has suffered a substantial bout of deflation. When a home falls in value from, say, $300,000 to $200,000, that is deflation. [emphasis in original]
In summary: The Federal Reserve inflated like mad to the tune of $200 billion (cascading into $2 trillion due to fractional reserve banking) following the September 11 terrorist attacks, causing a housing bubble which drove the Case-Schiller home price index through the roof. We’re now seeing a return to historically normal levels. The Fed calls this (thus far incomplete) drop “deflation,” but in reality it is just the inevitable, eventual consequence of (deliberate) inflation.
The measure could be as much as $750 billion to $1.5 trillion. And expect far more aggressive purchases than in QE1.
Mortgage-backed securities, the root cause of the economic collapse, will be the cornerstone of the purchases, thereby allowing a possible 10 percent to 15 percent increase in home prices, which would do wonders for the flat-lined economy.
To many, this sounds like a brilliant and pain free escape from the land of economic stagnation. Keep in mind, however, that this has been tried before, and not long ago. The Fed already has $1 trillion on its balance sheet of mortgage backed securities. They purchased these securities after the meltdown of September 2008 to keep the banks from going belly-up. (That’s how that $1 trillion in excess reserves got there in the first place.)
In reality, what this policy will accomplish is to unload all bad debt from banks – private institutions – onto the public. If it works, and if banks begin to lend, we will have rampant inflation. More than likely banks still will not lend, because 1) They’re being paid to keep their cash on deposit with the Fed 2) The Obama administration and the Democrat Congress have created impenetrable political risk for economic forecasters. Why endanger even the modest 0.25% interest for the very real potential of losing money?
After $800 billion of stimulus has failed to make a difference to all who are not politically connected, people are incensed that President Obama would suggest an additional $50 billion that (he claims) would be spent on infrastructure. And rightly so.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve, an unelected, unanswerable, politically insulated institution that does the bidding of its political masters and serves only to print money for the government, quietly ponders spending $1 trillion or more, and the average citizen remains unaware. A measure that is 20x larger than Obama’s proposal flies under the radar, the majority of the press too dull to get it, the politicians silent because it feeds the leviathan and (maybe) provides their constituents with illusory prosperity. An entire school of “thinking,” modern “economics,” sings praise for the counterfeiter as if he were a real world deux ex machina. With one notable exception… In days past, one cannot help but surmise that people were not so enamored with titles and degrees that they’d confer magical abilities onto their bureaucrats. Perhaps it is true that hardheadedness in the common man is worth more than all the alleged sophistication of Ph.D. economists flooding out the corrupted academy each year.
To be sure, clandestine operations of a monetary elite will bring down any country if not halted. All price information will be further distorted, leading to economic dislocation (unemployment, shortages, bankruptcies, lack of credit), rising prices, and the erosion of savings (which is what makes the production of new wealth possible in the first place).
If Republicans succeed in getting elected to a majority in Congress, they must put pressure on Bernanke to wind down operations and begin deleveraging as quickly as possible. To ensure that we do not have a spectacular bout inflation followed by a domestic currency crisis, banks will have to fail and merge. They never allowed this to happen in 2008. But inflation has consequences, and we will all pay the piper one day soon.
Suddenly I’ve lost my appetite, and a good part of my health due to stress.
For the past few months, I have taken time out of my life outside work to volunteer for Ryan Brumberg, who is running for Congress in NY’s 14th District. The district boundaries include the Upper East Side, Midtown East, the Lower East Side, and western Queens (including Astoria and Long Island City). At about 30% registered Republican, it is the most favorable district in Manhattan for the GOP. In fact, up until the election of Carolyn Maloney in 1992, the district was solidly Republican.
My experience has been overwhelmingly positive and encouraging. As an activist conservative Republican who has been living within the confines of this liberal la-la land for several years, I can honestly report that the typically reliable Democrat voters, self-absorbed and characteristically oblivious to anything outside the 5 boroughs and the New York Times, are starting to “get it.” Repeating the mantra “Brumberg for Congress, Brumberg for Congress, Ryan Brumberg for Congress!” at hundreds, if not thousands, of passerbys at busy subway stops and intersections across the upper east side, there’s a feeling among the people that maybe Obama and Pelosi are not quite up to the job of “fixing” the economy.
“I am a Democrat my whole life, but I’m voting for Ryan!” says one adamant woman in her 60’s. “This isn’t my Democratic Party. Congress never mentions the Constitution. They have no check on their power.”
“You’ve already got my vote!” shouts another, raising her fist in the air.
A visually troubled book restorer in his 70s, shoulder length hair in a pony tail wearing a loose fitting t-shirt, walks out the northwest exit at the 86th and Lex stop and comes right up to me and my Brumberg 2010 tote bag. “Obama is like a child… I didn’t like Bush,” he adds immediately, as if it were required, “but he was an adult. This kid [i.e. Obama] is unqualified and inexperienced.” He is indignant. “I wouldn’t have you run IBM” he exclaims, pointing his finger at my chest “because you wouldn’t know where to start! And that’s what it’s like with Obama in the White House.” For 5 minutes he plays variations on that theme before shuffling away.
At a street fair, a few days later, a frenetic middle-aged woman approaches our table. “Is he a Republican?” she asks. Yes, he’s running for Congress in this district. “Oh, I’d help you, I’d help you, but I’m from Long Island! I’m working to replace my own Congressman, Steve Israel!” Steve Israel was my Congressman growing up on Long Island. “I blog and so does my sister. The federal government is out of control. The Supreme Court is out of control. What is happening to my country that I grew up in?” The distraught woman’s plea seems to encapsulate the political undercurrent that has been building for well over a year.
Here’s the other thing: when a New Yorker used to ask, Is s/he a Republican?, it meant they would never even consider the candidate if the answer were Yes. Now, more often than not, they’re thrilled. The message is crystal clear to anybody who has been out speaking with locals: New Yorkers are looking for Republican alternatives.
To be sure, there’s still some hesitation. “The LAST thing we need is less regulation of Wall Street! That’s what got us into this mess,” explains a middle-aged professional who likely did not work on Wall St. He hands me back the flyer, walks a few feet to the bus stop line, and eyes me suspiciously until the M86 pulls up curbside. The youth vote, from 18-30, is still too cool for school. Many scoff at campaign canvassers and bristle by, white ear buds blocking out any chance at political connection. Generation Stewart-Colbert will vote Democrat because of College, if they vote at all. However, about 30% of the males in this demographic are very receptive, probably because of Mr. Brumberg’s age and their own industry affiliation. Thank you, Rick Santelli.
It’s not 2008 anymore, Toto. Middle-aged and elderly voters have seen political farces like Obama/Pelosi/Reid before. Empty promises and lackluster economic results have them rebelling against their Liberal Democrat instincts and they’re ready to roll the dice on Election Day. (Not that Mr. Brumberg is much of a gamble; he has degrees from Columbia University and Stanford Law School, and worked as a management consultant for McKinsey & Company for the past 3 years.) The majority of youth are too insular to care much either way, but even that is beginning to change as more are added to the unemployment rolls.
Addressing CPAC in 1977, Ronald Reagan looked to boost the confidence of young constituents declaring “We are not a cult, we are members of a majority. Let’s act and talk like it.” From 1981- 1989, the Reagan majority delivered peace and prosperity for Americans of all political stripes with a popularity that hasn’t been matched since.
Mr. Brumberg does act and talk like it. That’s why Democrats should fear losing their stranglehold on NYC. There’s a seachange underway and the Democrats are all washed up.
Read the “Pledge to America” that the House GOP just released today. Let’s make it our GAMEPLAN as we hit the streets of New York City and encourage voters to support Republican candidates in November. Let’s get on message and tell voters how the GOP will repeal Obamacare and limit government spending. As I mentioned in my previous post, we have several winnable races. Lets make New York City the place where we get GOP candidates over the hump statewide. It’s time to make our case to New Yorkers and be advocates for conservative ideas. Don’t be afraid of liberals and the nasty things they might say to us while we canvas. The nastier they get, the more afraid they are that we are going to take this city. Be Brave ans Strong. It’s time for Republicans in New York City to stop being afraid to show that they are conservative. I am sick and tired of liberals belittling us and more tired of Republicans wallowing in a corner. Let’s be bold and challenge them to defend Obama, Pelosi/Reid, and the failed policies of the past 2 years. Democrats have nothing to run in 2010 after bringing disfunction to Albany and Washington D.C. If a liberal wants to show us “who’s boss”…I recommend that you just laugh at them and move on. Liberals trying to make us back down are losers…and we should treat them as such…by ignoring them. Any people who have nothing better to do than rail on Republicans who are campaigning and acting on their first amendment rights are pathetic…and don’t deserve our attention. Let’s start campaigning hard for GOP candidates and SHOCK THE COUNTRY!
How do we know this? Look across the pond!
UK government officials are warning that cuts to the government’s science budget will lead to a “brain drain” of researchers leaving the country, says the Guardian‘s Alok Jha. In a letter to science minister David Willetts, chairman of the House of Lords science and technology committee Lord John Krebs says several labs have already lost researchers to institutions in other countries, and that further cuts to science spending — like the 25 percent cut the government is planning for all its departments — would cause even more drain, Jha writes.
Britain’s NHS has been around since 1946. It is a complete failure and the people exist to serve its budgetary concerns. In Orwellian doublespeak terms, the website of the NHS – a politburo that exists explicitly to RESTRICT consumer choice – trumpets “Your health, your choices.” That’s EXACTLY backwards.
Look, as someone who works in the field of academic medicine, I’ll tell you – the government largely runs this business already, and there is unbelievable nonsense all around the sector: duplication of resources, dislocation, endless planning that results in no tangible results, armies of paper pushers, regulations up the wazoo, fatigue from companies who know that government is always in the way.
As someone who has lived in Canada, I can tell you I’ve read similar stories a thousand times. Talent goes to where there is opportunity. The United States was the only place that rewarded talent in the health care industry through the free market system. We’re giving that up, and very much to our (and the world’s) dismay.
The LAST thing we need is more government in health care. Vote and volunteer for a candidate who opposes Obamacare in principle and will do their best to undermine it at every step.
Ryan Brumberg, Republican Candidate for Congress, New York’s 14th District
Michel Faulkner, Republican Candidate for Congress, New York’s 15th District
Susan Kone, Republican Candidate for New York’s 8th Congressional District
Paul Niehaus, Republican Candidate for New York Assembly, 73rd District
Saul Farber, Republican Candidate for New York State Senate, 26th District
Please stay tuned for upcoming events and announcements
New York races for Governor and Congress went through tough, hard fought primaries and now its the time for us to come together and support the victors.
Like many of you, some of my preferred candidates won and some of them lost, but that is all in the past now. What’s most important is that we take back Albany and Washington D.C. from the Democrats and return limited government to the American people. That is the reason why we have joined the GOP and are so active in the party. We remember how it felt on Election Night 2008, when we saw Obama’s victory speech in Hyde Park. It was so depressing to know that our party had suffered such a large defeat, 4 years after George W. Bush won reelection by an impressive margin.
Since the first few months of the Obama presidency, we have all discussed how he and Congressional Democrats were passing terrible legislation for the American people, that restricted individual liberty (Obamacare) and didn’t provide economic growth (the Stimulus). We have had to wait till now to change course and bring common sense conservative leaders to Washington D.C. In Albany, we have watched an inept Governor try to tax everything he possibly could and a budget be passed 4 months too late by the State Legislature. These events and many others have depressed us and many New York City voters and they are seeking alternatives to Democratic leadership.
With this said, it is not the time to reflect on wounds from tough primary fights, but rather, to unite around our candidates and take back our state and our country. WE CAN WIN THIS YEAR!!! But only if we work together. The latest Quinnipiac poll has Carl Paladino ONLY DOWN 6 POINTS to Andrew Cuomo. THIS RACE IS WINNABLE! Cuomo is only up 2-1 in New York City…that means that 33% of voters are pulling the lever for “crazy, unelectable” Paladino in New York City…one of the most liberal cities in America. In the latest Survey USA Poll, Joe DioGuardi is ONLY DOWN 1 POINT to Kirsten Gillibrand. THIS RACE IS WINNABLE! In order to help Paladino become the next Governor of New York and put DioGuardi in the Senate, we must get out the New York City vote and over deliver the GOP for them. That is our job as New York City GOP activists. That’s what being a member of a political club means. It means being an activist and getting GOP candidates elected. Period. It means helping Saul Farber win the 26th State Senate District. It means helping Ryan Brumberg defeat Carolyn McCarthy in the 14th Congressional District, who has been in office since 1993 and has become a parrot for Nancy Pelosi. It means supporting Paul Niehaus in the 73rd State Assembly District. It means helping Susan Kone defeat Jerry Nadler in the 8th Congressional District. It means helping Michel Faulkner upset Charles Rangel and kick out a crooked congressman out of office.
We know that the Democrats in New York City have more money and resources than we do for this election…but they don’t have more heart, desire, or will to win. Look at Bill Thompson last year. He was outspent more than 20-1 by Mike Bloomberg and only lost by 4 points. And he wasn’t even a great candidate. But what he had was committed grassroots volunteers and a voter base who despised Bloomberg.
The GOP has a similar scenario this year. A good amount of Independents and Democrats in NYC are fed up with Democrats in Albany and Washington D.C. They are looking for an alternative…but if we don’t make it clear to them that we have one…then they will just vote for Democrats. These voters can turn to the GOP this year, but they need to see passion and energy from us…the GOP activists.
We have just 40 days to election days, so now is the time to focus on local races and get involved in a campaign of your choice. Being a Republican simply means believing in the power of the individual. I believe in all of you and the power of each and every New York City Republican. I believe we can reach individual voters and convince them that our party stands with their values. I believe that individuals joining hands and sending a message to our leaders is more powerful than our leaders sending a message to individuals.
GET INVOLVED IN A CAMPAIGN TODAY! A GRATEFUL STATE AND NATION THANKS YOU!