Dec
12

As I did my Christmas toy shopping, I thanked China:

By nvertucci

This past Sunday I took part in my yearly ritual of spending a couple hours in Toys R Us purchasing Christmas presents for my son, nephews and nieces. Toy shopping for the children is my job and for the adults, my wife.

As I pushed my shopping kart through the store I dumped in everything, board games, Barbie’s, GI Joes, Superheroes, Lego’s and more. Part of the reason I was able to load up my kart was that it seemed everything I picked up only cost between $5 & $20. Operation a game that goes back to when I was a kid cost me only $8. $8! When I was a kid the game not only cost more but also my parents were making a fraction of what my wife and I make today.

Today America’s trade deficit for the month of October declined to $58.9 billion, it lowest level in over a year. Despite the decline our trade deficit with China increased to $24.4 billion because of large shipments of Christmas items including toys. As Senator Schumer and other Democrats attack China, I walked through the store on Sunday thanking China for making it possible to consume double then what I would have if those items were made in America.

This post and the contents thereof are the views of only the author identified immediately above and do not necessarily represent the views of the New York Young Republican Club, Inc. (the "NYYRC"), its officers or its members. The NYYRC expressly disclaims responsibility for the contents thereof and by its charter documents may not, and does not, endorse any candidate for any office, except in a general election.

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22 Comments

1

Given the reality of labor unions and other impediments to manufacturing success here, what do you think we can/need to do in order for you to one day be walking through Toys-R-Us and thanking the fact that Americans make goods so inexpensively?

2

Personally I don’t think you want to be a nation manufacturing toys. The labor to do so is unskilled and in my opinion means you’re going backwards. Do you really want your kids growing up saying I want to make GI Joes when I get older? I don’t.

Even China doesn’t want to be making toys and clothes forever. They know to progress they need to move up the chain and become a service and high-tech economy like ours. Their goal is to one day pass the torch of unskilled labor supremacy to the next country, hopefully somewhere on the continent of Africa, the way South Korea and Taiwan did years ago.

3

The way things are going, that is not likely to happen – and that’s ok. American manufacturing is shifting to more complicated manufacturing (like tech, biotech, metalworking) that Americans do better. While there is currently a bit of a shortage of skilled workers in some fields and a glut of older unskilled workers due to massive manufacturing layoffs/buyouts, the incentives that companies are offering employees to enter these trades should eventually make up for the deficit, and the older workers will age out of the workforce.

Also, while labor unions have been a major hindrance to the manufacturing industry, the living standards here and prevailing wages people are expecting likely would not compete with emerging markets even without labor unions.

I think America should focus on it’s strentghs and appreciate the fact that moving manufacturing to developing economies is good for the world economy and helps bring up the standard of living in third world countries through free markets in a more efficient (and free market) method than aid programs.

4

Who knows, maybe one day in the future the new toys will have “Made in Iraq” stamped on the bottom.

5

Services are more labor intensive than manufacturing jobs, so it’s positive to move in that direction.

China has increased it’s manufacturing jobs over the past twenty years, but globally manufacturing has been declining due to automation.

The trade deficit is a common debate point. What I’m not hearing discussion about is the SERVICES deficit. This is a huge issue which started this year. This country seems to be eroding it’s comparative advantage in services.

If we focus on our strengths, one would debate what our strength is if we run a trade, services and net investment income deficit.

Our educational system has faltered dramatically and the ‘average joe’ does not have the skills to move up the value chain.

We cannot move up the ladder without investment in our people. We cannot invest in our people if we do not save. We cannot save with large budget deficits and ever-growing household debt.

6

It’s all well and good if the Republicans actually invested in education so the next generation could attain the skill set needed for a new economy.

Instead the Republicans reduced Pell grants and other college loans. Decimated training programs and funding for Math and Science.

I guess the anti-science far right religious slice of the modern day Republican Party won out and the middle class lost again.

7

Though it sounds simple to just raise the amount on Pell grants, what you and other Democrats fail to take into account is the reaction from your action.

Prices are a reflection of wages and a Pell grant is in essence a wage to someone going to college. When you raise the amount allowed for Pell grants the result is colleges raise their tuition to reflect the injection of new money into the system. It has been proven that one of the reasons college tuition has gone up so much in the last couple of years is due to the fact that interest rates have been low and money cheap. Like the price of homes, tuition has shot up to reflect that students can afford to borrow more money.

When money is cheap or you raise Pell Grant amounts, the result is that that student is right back where they started. Unless your going to start telling Harvard and other schools what they can charge, they will continue to exploit the system by raising their tuition to reflect the fact that students now have more money to spend.

8

You Republicans have these sycophant theories that never pan out and never any solutions – let the poor be poor let the lower and middle class work at Wendy’s. No college for you. Trust the markets they know what’s best. Get real.

The best is don’t raise the minimum wage because it will hurt the economy (yet every state that has raised it since 1998 has a booming economy!). You wonder why no one believes you anymore.

You souls really need a new frame because your talking point and selling points on behalf of business against the working man is going to destroy you. Your 12 year GOP holiday in Congress is just a dire blip in the map.

You all are hypocrites who no doubt will take the Pell grants for their kids with open arms.

9

If Democrats are in favor of Pell Grants, why are they against School Vouchers? Wouldn’t using a Pell Grant for say, St John’s University be the same as a parent using a voucher for St Andrew’s Elementary School? Sounds the same to me. Republicans need to stop calling them vouchers and maybe call them Pellementary Grants. :)

10

I love how you completely refuse to argue the case I put before you that by raising the amount given in Pell grants you will do nothing for that person other than see the cost of tuition rise. Instead you choose to rant about what’s fair.

Do you think the market forces that have caused the prices of homes rise over the last three years don’t affect things like tuition? More money injected into the system means price of goods go up. It’s not some revolutionary young Republican theory. It’s called economics.

You’re more then welcome to raise the Pell amount if it makes you feel better but I promise you that those people will be right back where they started because colleges will use the opportunity to raise tuition as they have over the last few years because of the low student loan borrowing rates.

11

Anonymous,

As a ‘moderate’ and frequent critic of my own party, I will say that it’s still a far more compelling offering than the opposition.

The opposition has been shifting to the right for awhile, culminating with this election (although there is a strong draft of populism in the air) while ‘we’ did not move left.

Your minimum wage statement is a fallacy. State economics is not limited to one variable. I suppose California recovered from the Tech-boom by raising the minimum wage?

12

Daniel, you make a great point about vouchers. Democrats are strongly opposed to any sort of primary school voucher program, yet feel that everyone should be entitled to go to expensive private universities.There are other, less expensive options for those who can’t afford private colleges – state schools and community colleges. Are they saying the less expensive colleges that the government funds provide an inferior education? If that’s the case, why not stop funding these and put it all into pell grants?

I fell into the category where my middle class parents made too much money to qualify for Pell grants but not enough to pay for college – so we took out loans. Rather than whining about how the government should have subsidized my education, we appreciate the value of the education those loans provided me with.

13

On the subject of tuition cost, the Economist today compares higher education in Europe, where it is free or low cost, to the US, which has higher fees. The conclusion – the US has a higher percentage of college educated adults, despite any cuts in Pell grants.

http://www.economist.com/debate/freeexchange/2006/12/yesterdays_new_york_times_spec.cfm

14

Prove it Nick. Show us a study. Show us how Pell Grants increase tuition(absurd!)

Pell Grants, Minimum Wage, all Republican spin.

15

You asked for it!

“The last decade has been marked by rapidly increasing federal aid and ballooning tuition. In current dollars, money for Pell grants — federal grants to less affluent students — rose from less than $5 billion in 1996 to more than $12.8 billion in 2005.

In addition, federal Perkins loans — low interest federally guaranteed loans to roughly the same group that is eligible for Pell grants — rose in current dollars from $892 million in 1993 to $1.3 billion in 2004. The Federal Direct Student Loan Program and Federal Family Educational Loans went from a combined $12.5 billion in 1993 to $52.2 billion in 2004. Tax credits and deductions will add another $9 billion in 2005.

Not surprisingly, this massive influx of student aid has been accompanied by a substantial increase in tuition. In the 10-year period ending in 2004, tuition and fees at public colleges and universities rose 47 percent, adjusting for inflation. At private colleges, they rose 42 percent.

And the trend is continuing. Average tuition and fees for in-state students at four-year public colleges and universities rose 10.5 percent in 2004-05 to $5,132. This marked the fourth straight year where tuition and fees rose by more than 5 percent in inflation-adjusted dollars at public four-year institutions. Private school tuition and fees rose by 6 percent in the same period to $20,082.

Anyone who has taken a remedial economics course knows that if you subsidize something, more people want it. This increase in demand will push up the price. Former Secretary of Education William Bennett recognized this in 1987 when he argued that increases in federal aid have “enabled colleges and universities to blithely raise their tuitions, confident that federal loan subsidies would help cushion the increase.”

The U.S. government has helped to create a cycle where federal aid results in increased tuition, leading to political pressure to further increase aid. This in turn leads to higher tuitions.”

Get the full story here:

http://www.cato.org/dailys/01-15-05.html

16

Your far right libertarian extremist Cato study (which wants the government shrunk to the size of a bathtub ta any cost and will say anything to forward that doctrine) shows tuition rose (as it always does), but shows no correlating factor that proves the meager increases in Pell Grants caused these ballooning hikes in tuition costs. Absurd spin from Cato.

Keep fighting against increases in Pell Grants and Minimum Wage. See how popular you continue to be. You can’t prove it to the American people because it’s voo doo economics.

Your fighting a losing battle cementing callous conservatism.

You should get your data from non-partisan groups like the College Board:

http://www.collegeboard.com/press/releases/29541.html

Published 2003
This year’s increases in tuition and fees at public colleges and universities are high by historical standards. However, the longer-term trend data do not indicate that we are in an era of unprecedented growth in college charges. In constant 2003 dollars, over the 10-year period ending in 2003-04, average tuition and fees rose 47 percent ($1,506) at four-year public colleges and universities and 42 percent ($5,866) at private colleges. This growth rate was lower than that of the preceding decade, when the real rates of increase were 54 percent and 50 percent, respectively.

Republicans have lost their minds. Keep eating up think tank spin. Will keep you in the minority.

17

Yeah, what does the Cato Institute know?

I think we’ll just agree to disagree. Though I think my piece is stronger then the paragraph you posted, which has nothing to do with the argument nor proves that tuition costs are not connected.

As the Cato article states:

“Anyone who has taken a remedial economics course knows that if you subsidize something, more people want it. This increase in demand will push up the price.”

The problem is either you have never taken a remedial economics course or you just don’t understand the “invisible hand of capitalism”.

I guess you also think that low interest rates and the injection of capital into the mortgage markets have nothing to do with the price of homes going up either.

18

I wish Democrats could remove every economic program they have brought forward since FDR to the Great Society to Congress ’94 and Clinton and have the Republicans just live by the “invisible hand” of capitalism and the rest of us watch and laugh as they implode.

19

Interesting theory.

Especially since Adam Smith’s, The Wealth of Nations, is still relevant today unlike your beloved Communist Manifesto.

20

Nick you’re a lost cause. You live in some land of extremes and sound like an ignorant Sean Hannity clone.

21

Candle Man,

It’s called China. They’re imploding about 10% a year.

You should try it sometime.

22

I have also done my earlier Christmas shopping through CouponAlbum site.

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